| A
Brief Look At The Commonwealth’s Economic Environment
The Northern Marianas had a choice in 1975 when Commonwealth status
was selected by plebiscite.
Its economy could have remained minuscule at
former Trust Territory levels
or it could offer investment incentives to
achieve economic growth
and start on the road to obtaining a standard of
living similar to that of
many American communities.
One need
only look at the present economy of the independent Federated
States of Micronesia to
comprehend the results if the Trust Territory
status quo had been maintained.
In order to develop economically, the
Commonwealth had to offer
a series of very important investment incentives
to developers.
Principal
among these were: local control of immigration to overcome
the constraint of a small
indigenous labor force. The Commonwealth - not
unlike the continental United
States and Hawaii -in the early years - has
relied upon imported
labor to develop its economy. Other incentives
include the ability to offer
wage rates lower than the United States
minimum wage - at least
for a period of time and finally a lucrative tax
rebate incentive - not unlike
many states that offer a tax holiday. These
incentives and its association
with the United States and the advantage of
being able to ship qualified
manufactured products to the United States
duty free combined to propel
the CNMI’s economic “take-off.”
Without the above incentives the economic progress the Commonwealth
has attained would not have
been possible. By 1978 the small economy was
capable of generating local
revenues totaling only $14.9 million. Today,
locally generated government
revenues have reached an estimated $190.4
million.
The Commonwealth's proximity to Asia places it within reasonable
distances to 1.4 billion
people with a combined gross domestic product
equal to $2.9 trillion dollars.
Japan alone accounts for 11 and 70 percent
respectively of the regional
totals mentioned above.
As the ceremonies commemorating the 50th anniversary of World War Two
come to a close, one is
struck by a strange irony - United States
Government expenditures
within the Northern Marianas aside - large private
American investment is somewhat
conspicuous by its absence in the islands.
It is something of a paradox
that it has been largely private capital from
a former defeated
adversary rather than the wealth from the victor’s
private sector that has
resulted in the reconstruction of Saipan's economy.
Considering that the Japanese
presence in the islands extended for a period
of 30 years as compared
to one half century for that of America, it is
fortunate that economic
ties between these islands and Japan were reforged
in the seventies.
The question must be posed as to why there is not more U. S. private
investment in evidence in
this American affiliated Commonwealth. The answer
may lie in the geographic,
demographic, climatic and physical environment
of the islands.
Geography: The Commonwealth
is somewhat isolated from the major suppliers
and markets of North America
and the concomitant freight costs associated
with importing equipment
and materials increases the cost of doing
business. Sheer distance
and the time involved in traversing the Pacific
are factors which must be
taken into consideration when planning projects.
For example, the Commonwealth
is about as far away from the U. S. west
coast as, for example, Washington,
D. C. is from Cairo, Egypt.The swiftness
of jet aircraft, while having
the apparent effect of shrinking distance,
tends to distort the perception
of time and space in the vastness of the
Pacific. The Marianas archipelago
is closer to Moscow than Washington, D.
C. At 7,000 miles, the area
is the most distant member of the American
political family and the
United States Capitol.
Geography also separates the major population groups of Saipan, Tinian
and Rota and fragments the
small domestic market; adds to the expense of
transportation and communication
and limits the cohesiveness of the
population. The separation
of the three principal islands requires a
tremendous duplication of
government services as each island requires its
own air and sea port, power
and water production facilities, schools and
other public services which
cannot otherwise be consolidated.
Demographic: The population of the CNMI is about the size of many
communities in rural America.
With a large percentage under the age of 15
years and with a lesser
number over 65 years of age, there are not enough
local people to fill available
jobs. One important issue facing the
Commonwealth today in terms
of the labor force are the large number of
alien workers and there
is a paradox inherent in the current labor
situation since any successful
attempt to stem the flow of nonresident
workers could likely slow
the pace of economic development as foreign
workers are recruited precisely
because the local labor supply does not
meet current demands.
Climate: With respect to an otherwise pleasant and enjoyable tropical
climate the Commonwealth
is situated some 600 miles east of an area in the
western Pacific which is
the breeding area of cyclonic disturbances. As a
result the Commonwealth
is in what is known as weather condition four at
all times which means
that 40 mile an hour winds are possible within 72
hours. These cyclonic disturbances
can quickly and sometimes unexpectedly
develop into typhoon force
winds of 120 miles per hour or greater. The
effect of such storms on
both government and private facilities and
services can be profoundly
disturbing and can result in property damage
and, on occasion, loss of
life as well. Such events result in added costs
to the government and the
private sector.
Physical: For Saipan at least, these constraints include little or no
surface or subterranean
mineral resources, limited land area particularly
as relates to assembling
large tracts of agricultural land, relatively
poor agricultural
soils, no stream or river courses which could be used
for irrigation purposes
during dry periods or for a potable water supply.
There are no reservoir sites
with a sufficiently large enough drainage
area to sustain an adequate
supply of impounded water. In terms of ground
water sources, Saipan's
principal sources for obtaining a potable water
supply are located at widely
separated wells on the island making
consolidation of supply
difficult and costly. At lower elevations salt
water intrusion can limit
the usefulness of some ground water sources.
Capital Intensive vs. Labor Intensive Investment: There are those that
suggest the CNMI should
concentrate its economic diversification efforts
toward encouraging capital
intensive industries rather than labor intensive
activities. While this would
obviously be more desirable for the
Commonwealth it is probably
unrealistic to think that such will, in fact,
ever occur to any great
extent. The reason being the availability of low
cost imported labor as compared
with the high cost of automated equipment
and machinery. In manufacturing
endeavors, as in all others, there are only
two ways to make money in
business: holding costs and increasing sales is
one method. When events
make increasing sales difficult one must, as an
alternative, attempt to
maintain previous sales levels and cut production
costs, (usually labor costs
are first). In an attempt to cut costs in a
capital intensive industry
it must be realized that you can't "fire" a
robot as the amortization
expenses of mechanical equipment - once purchased
- is "fixed" as opposed
to the cost of labor which is "variable" and can be
adjusted to fit production
demands. An investor in a manufacturing
enterprise will be the first
to recognize this economic fact as well as the
high electrical charges
and maintenance costs associated with capital
equipment in a humid tropical
environment.
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