| Economic
Conditions At The End Of 1996
Tourism Sector
The Commonwealth's economy with its 4,257 licensed businesses
functions between two economic
forces. As a political entity affiliated
with the United States,
a thriving U. S. economy and a strong dollar is
desired when Americans travel
abroad, but, the reverse is true with respect
to the Commonwealth’s tourism
based economy since a strong dollar erodes
the competitiveness of the
area's Japanese based tourist industry there-by
making the islands more
expensive for the visitor when an increasing amount
of yen is required to purchase
the dollar. Sixty one percent (61%) of the
visitors to the Northern
Marianas are Japanese;22 percent Korean; 12
percent U. S. citizens with
the remaining 5 percent consisting of all
others.
The visitor
industry is expected to continue to experience significant
growth over the remaining
years of this decade and well into the twenty
first century. Influencing
the growth of this industry are the increasing
number of cities served
by Continental Airlines, Northwest, Korean Air,
Asiana Airways, Japan Airlines
and All Nippon Airlines. These flights have
made more seats available
to Commonwealth island destinations. The
availability of more air
routes to Japan and other tourist markets such as
Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong
and mainland China opens a vast tourist market.
Ocean
going cruise vessels such as the Nippon
Maru,
Sunflower-7, Utopia
and the New Utopia and the Micronesian Princess
make calls at Commonwealth
ports.
It has been estimated that in 1996 visitor expenditures totaled $587.8
million and that more
than 5,000 jobs in the Commonwealth were directly
related to tourism. By
early 1997 there were more than 3,800 hotel rooms
on the three islands of
Saipan, Tinian and Rota. In 1996 an average of
7,000 visitors were within
the islands on any given day. The average annual
increase in tourist arrivals
between the years 1977 and 1996 has been 14.5
percent per year.
Sixty two percent (62%) of the hotel rooms in the Commonwealth are
owned by the Japanese, 14
percent are Korean owned, 12 percent Chinese,
with the balance owned by
U. S. citizens. Some local residents do own
shares in several of the
large hotels. Several of the smaller hotels are
owned and managed by
US/CNMI citizens. A wide variety of restaurants and
other tourist catering businesses
are owned and managed by the Japanese and
other foreign investors.
Each of Saipan’s major hotels have untaken and
completed three major expansions
since their initial investment. Each
expansion has involved a
significant investment in additional rooms and
facilities. Several major
resort hotels are planned for construction in the
near future.
Saipan has
one - nine hole golf course and four world class 18 hole golf
courses one of which is
being expanded to 36 holes. A fifth golf course is
planned. One course on Rota
has been completed with a second golf course
planned. The island of Rota
has a new 18 hole golf course which is expected
to generate an increase
in tourists and Tinian is the site of a $40
million, 400 room hotel
and casino under construction together with a $20.4
million Voice of America
relay station both of which are expected to
provide a substantial boost
to that island’s economy.
Without question the Marianas
will soon become the premier golf destination
in the world.
Korea should also join the ranks as a major generator of tourists.
Throughout the remaining
years in this last decade of the twentieth century
the Marianas is expected
to witness a dramatic increase in visitor arrivals
provided, however, that
additional accommodations are in place to sustain
this volume of visitors.
Since 1980 the increase in visitor arrivals has averaged 11.6 percent
annually. Only one year
(1982) in the past seventeen years witnessed a
decline in arrivals and
that was a minuscule 3 percent drop.
Air craft landings at Saipan International Airport increased
25
percent over those of 1995
for a total of 36,852 in 1996.
Conservative projections of low and high scenarios to the year 2001
indicate that the Commonwealth
can expect from 1.0 to 1.4 million
visitors providing
additional hotel rooms are available to accommodate
this market. A total of
7,000 to 9,000 hotel rooms will be required in the
Commonwealth’s inventory.
Visitor arrival information reveal that the Commonwealth’s visitor
industry in 1996 remained
a vibrant sector. Air and sea entries were
736,508 for the calendar
year representing an increase of 9 percent over
the previous year.
Projections to the year 2001 indicate visitor expenditures for air
arrivals will be in the
vicinity of $1.4 billion (low) to $2.7 billion
(high). At that time the
CNMI could expect to accommodate from 10,700 (low)
to 13,400 (high) visitors
on the islands on any given day.
Other Economic Sectors
Business gross revenue for other sectors of the economy was as
follows: 1995 - construction:
$117.5 million for an increase of 39 percent
over the $84.4 million reported
in ‘94; retail: increased 45 percent over
1994 to $502.8 million;
hotels up 57 percent in 1995 to $171 million;
wholesale: increased 33
percent over 1994 to $167.5 million in 1995 with
all other activities climbing
90 percent over ‘94 to over $1.0 billion for
a grand total of reported
business gross revenue in 1995 of $2.26 billion.
The current minimum wage in the Commonwealth is $3.05 per hour for all
except the construction
and garment industry which is $2.90 per hour. Per
capital income increased
198 percent between 1980 and 1990 from $2,418 to
$7,984 and declined by 3
percent between 1990 and 1995 to $6,984. This
decline is attributed to
an increase in the number of minimum wage non
resident workers primarily
in the garment industry.This industry reported
business gross revenue of
$286.9 million in 1995 for an increase of 14.6
percent over 1994’s total
of $250.3 million. Wages paid by this industry in
1995 totaled $73 million.
The work force increased 33.7 percent from 25,965 in 1990 to 34,723 in
‘95 while nonresident work
permits (new, renewal and transfers) increased
22 percent to 28,829 in
1995. Wages and salaries in 1995 totaled $464.8
million for an increase
of 12 percent over 1990. Within the banking and
finance sector year
end deposits of $425 million registered a modest gain
of 3.3 percent at the conclusion
of 1995 while loans of $200 million were
up 8 percent over those
at the end of 1994.
Population Growth
The Commonwealth’s population increased 35.8 percent to 58,846 by
late 1995.This was an increase
of 15,501 over the 43,345 people enumerated
in 1990. The 1980
census recorded 16,780 people residing in the islands
resulting in an increase
in the population by 1995 of 42,066 or 250.7
percent since that period
for a total population of 58,846.
United States citizens account for 46.7 percent of the inhabitants
(with those born in the
CNMI equal to 37.7 percent while the remaining 9
percent was made up of other
ethnicities). Those of Chamorro ethnicity made
up 23.5 percent of the population;
the Filipino community equaled 33.1
percent followed by the
Chinese at 11.5 percent; Carolinians registered 4.0
percent; Koreans at 3.9
percent and the Japanese only 1.6 percent. The
remaining 22.4 percent consisted
of other Pacific islanders and Asians,
whites and blacks , (the
two latter groups at 0.04 and 0.01 percent
respectively). Several other
ethnicities made up the balance of the
population.
In 1995, 11,525 students were enrolled in school. The work force
consisted of 34,669 people
16 years of age and over, working 35 hours a
week or more. The
unemployment rate was 7.5 percent within a labor force
of 35,664, (comprised of
those between the age of 16 and 64 years of age
who are either employed
or
unemployed) . This is in contrast with 1990 and
that year’s working population
of 25,965 within a labor force of 28,664 and
an unemployment rate at
that time of 9.4 percent. How the Commonwealth can
have a nonresident work
force of the size it currently sustains and still
have unemployment is an
interesting contradiction and partly a result of
unskilled individuals from
neighboring islands entering the Commonwealth as
permitted under the Compact
of Free Association.
Government Revenues
The Commonwealth’s
economic “boom” started around 1986. Several
indicators of the Commonwealth’s
phenomenal growth over a ten year period
can be observed from the
increase in locally generated government revenues.
Business gross revenue tax
collections have increased from $19.3 million in
1986 to $67 million in 1996
for an average annual increase of 16 percent.
Revenues collected from
the wage and salary tax have jumped from $7.4
million in ‘86 to $53.9
million in ‘96 for an average annual increase of 40
percent. On an annual basis,
government income from the import and export
tax averaged 18.7 percent
and 20 percent respectively. Revenue generated
from the hotel tax has averaged
an annual rate of growth of 31.5 percent.
On the expenditure side,
in 1986 revenues required for government
commitments were $40.5 million.
Ten years later, by 1996, they had
increased five times to
$216.8 million with the average annual growth rate
of 19.2 percent. Expenditures
have also increased three and one half times
from $59.3 million in 1986
to $209.8 million by 1996 for an average annual
increase of 13 percent.
It should be kept in mind that the Commonwealth,
unlike Guam, has three principal
islands which requires a tremendous
duplication of services,
three airports, three medical facilities, three
public safety operations,
etc. These services can’t be consolidated and
thus the high cost of government
operations.
This growth in government revenues was a result of two factors: an
increase in taxes in 1995
but more importantly the striking performance of
the private sector and the
reported business gross revenue (BGR). In
reviewing the most recent
data available the reported BGR was nine times
larger in 1995 than in 1985.
In 1985 the BGR totaled $244.4 million and
increased to $2.26 billion
(est.) by 1995 for an average annual increase
over the period of 21 percent.
In terms of wages and salaries paid, these
jumped from a total of $77.5
million in 1985 to $464.8 million in 1995 a
six fold increase for an
annual average over the period of 20 percent..
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